Terrestrial Animal Health Code |
Risk assessment for
antimicrobial resistance arising from the
use of antimicrobials in animals
Recommendations for analysing the risks to animal and public health from antimicrobial resistant micro-organisms of animal origin
Introduction
The use of antimicrobials for therapy, prophylaxis and growth promotion in animals can reduce their efficacy in animal and human medicine, through the development of antimicrobial resistant strains of pathogenic micro-organisms. This risk may be represented by the loss of therapeutic efficacy of one or several antimicrobial drugs and includes the emergence of multi-resistant micro-organisms.
Objective
The principal aim of risk analysis for antimicrobial resistance in micro-organisms from animals is to provide OIE Members with a transparent, objective and scientifically defensible method of assessing and managing the human and animal health risks associated with the development of resistance arising from the use of antimicrobials in animals.
The risk analysis process
The principles of risk analysis are described in Section of this Terrestrial Code.
A qualitative risk assessment should always be undertaken. Its outcome will determine whether progression to a quantitative risk assessment is feasible and/or necessary.
Hazard identification
For the purposes of this Chapter, the hazard is the resistance determinant that emerges as a result of the use of a specific antimicrobial in animals. This definition reflects the development of resistance in a species of pathogenic micro-organisms, as well as the development of a resistance determinant that may be passed from one species of micro-organisms to another. The conditions under which the hazard might produce adverse consequences include any scenarios through which humans or animals could become exposed to a pathogen which contains that resistance determinant, fall ill and then be treated with an antimicrobial that is no longer effective because of the resistance.
Risk assessment
The assessment of the risk to human and animal health from antimicrobial-resistant micro-organisms resulting from the use of antimicrobials in animals should examine:
the likelihood of emergence of resistant micro-organisms arising from the use of antimicrobial(s), or more particularly, production of the resistance determinants if transmission is possible between micro-organisms;
consideration of all pathways and their importance, by which humans could be exposed to these resistant micro-organisms or resistance determinants, together with the possible degree of exposure;
the consequences of exposure in terms of risks to human and/or animal health.
Analysis of risks to human health
Definition of the risk
The infection of humans with micro-organisms that have acquired resistance to a specific antimicrobial used in animals, and resulting in the loss of benefit of antimicrobial therapy used to manage the human infection.
Hazard identification
Micro-organisms that have acquired resistance, (including multiple resistance) arising from the use of an antimicrobial(s) in animals.
Micro-organisms having obtained a resistance determinant(s) from other micro-organisms which have acquired resistance arising from the use of an antimicrobial(s) in animals.
The identification of the hazard must include consideration of the class or subclass of the antimicrobial(s). This definition should be read in conjunction with point 4) of Article 6.8.1.
Release assessment
A release assessment describes the biological pathways necessary for the use of a specific antimicrobial in animals to lead to the release of resistant micro-organisms or resistance determinants into a particular environment, and estimating either qualitatively or quantitatively the probability of that complete process occurring. The release assessment describes the probability of the release of each of the potential hazards under each specified set of conditions with respect to amounts and timing, and how these might change as a result of various actions, events or measures.
The following factors should be considered in the release assessment:
species of animal treated with the antimicrobial(s) in question
number of animals treated, geographical distribution of those animals
variation in methods and routes of administration of the antimicrobial(s)
the pharmacodynamics/pharmacokinetics of the antimicrobial(s)
micro-organisms developing resistance as a result of the antimicrobial(s) use
mechanism of direct or indirect transfer of resistance
cross-resistance and/or co-resistance with other antimicrobials
surveillance of animals, products of animal origin and animal waste products for the existence of resistant micro-organisms.
Exposure assessment
An exposure assessment describes the biological pathways necessary for exposure of humans to the resistant micro-organisms or resistance determinants released from a given antimicrobial use in animals, and estimating the probability of the exposures occurring. The probability of exposure to the identified hazards is estimated for specified exposure conditions with respect to amounts, timing, frequency, duration of exposure, routes of exposure and the number, species and other characteristics of the human populations exposed.
The following factors should be considered in the exposure assessment:
human demographics and food consumption patterns, including traditions and cultural practices
prevalence of resistant micro-organisms in food
environmental contamination with resistant micro-organisms
prevalence of animal feed contaminated with resistant micro-organisms
cycling of resistant micro-organisms between humans, animals and the environment
steps of microbial decontamination of food
microbial load in contaminated food at the point of consumption
survival capacity and redistribution of resistant micro-organisms during the food production process (including slaughtering, processing, storage, transportation and retailing)
disposal practices for waste products and the opportunity for human exposure to resistant micro-organisms or resistance determinants in those waste products
point of consumption of food (professional catering, home cooking)
variation in consumption and food-handling methods of exposed populations and subgroups of the population
capacity of resistant micro-organisms to become established in humans
human-to-human transmission of the micro-organisms under consideration
capacity of resistant micro-organisms to transfer resistance to human commensal micro-organisms and zoonotic agents
amount and type of antimicrobials used in response to human illness
pharmacokinetics (metabolism, bioavailability, access to intestinal flora).
Consequence assessment
A consequence assessment describes the relationship between specified exposures to resistant micro-organisms or resistance determinants and the consequences of those exposures. A causal process must exist by which exposures produce adverse health or environmental consequences, which may in turn lead to socio-economic consequences. The consequence assessment describes the potential consequences of a given exposure and estimates the probability of them occurring.
The following factors should be considered in the consequence assessment:
dose-response relationships
variation in susceptibility of exposed populations or subgroups of the population
variation and frequency of human health effects resulting from loss of efficacy of antimicrobials
changes in human medicinal practices resulting from reduced confidence in antimicrobials
changes in food consumption patterns due to loss of confidence in the safety of food products and any associated secondary risks
associated costs
interference with first line/choice antimicrobial therapy in humans
perceived future usefulness of the antimicrobial (time reference)
prevalence of resistance in human bacterial pathogens under consideration.
Risk estimation
A risk estimation integrates the results from the release assessment, exposure assessment and consequence assessment to produce overall estimates of risks associated with the hazards. Thus, risk estimation takes into account the whole of the risk pathway from hazard identification to the unwanted consequences.
The following factors should be considered in the risk estimation:
number of people falling ill and the proportion of that number affected with resistant strains of micro-organisms
increased severity or duration of infectious disease
number of person/days of illness per year
deaths (total per year; probability per year or lifetime for a random member of the population or a member of a specific more exposed sub-population)
importance of the pathology caused by the target micro-organisms
absence of alternate antimicrobial therapy
incidence of resistance observed in humans
consequences to allow weighted summation of different risk impacts (e.g. illness and hospitalisation).
Risk management options and risk communication
Risk management options and risk communication have to be continuously monitored and reviewed in order to ensure that the objectives are being achieved.
Analysis of risks to animal health
Definition of the risk
The infection of animals with micro-organisms that have acquired resistance from the use of a specific antimicrobial(s) in animals, and resulting in the loss of benefit of antimicrobial therapy used to manage the animal infection.
Hazard identification
Micro-organisms that have acquired resistance, (including multiple resistance) arising from the use of an antimicrobial(s) in animals.
Micro-organisms having obtained a resistance determinant(s) from another micro-organisms which have acquired resistance arising from the use of an antimicrobial(s) in animals.
The identification of the hazard must include considerations of the class or subclass of the antimicrobial(s). This definition should be read in conjunction with point 4) of Article 6.8.1.
Release assessment
The following factors should be considered in the release assessment:
animal species treated
number of animals treated, sex, age and their geographical distribution
amounts used and duration of treatment
variation in methods and routes of administration of the antimicrobial(s)
the pharmacodynamics/ pharmacokinetics of the antimicrobial(s)
site and type of infection
development of resistant micro-organisms
mechanisms and pathways of resistance transfer
cross-resistance and/or co-resistance
surveillance of animals, products of animal origin and animal waste products for the existence of resistant micro-organisms.
Exposure assessment
The following factors should be considered in the exposure assessment:
prevalence and trends of resistant micro-organisms in clinically ill and clinically unaffected animals
prevalence of resistant micro-organisms in feed /the animal environment
animal-to-animal transmission of the resistant micro-organisms
number/percentage of animals treated
dissemination of resistant micro-organisms from animals (animal husbandry methods, movement of animals)
quantity of antimicrobial(s) used in animals
treatment regimens (dose, route of administration, duration)
survival capacity of resistant micro-organisms
exposure of wild life to resistant micro-organisms
disposal practices for waste products and the opportunity for animal exposure to resistant micro-organisms or resistance determinants in those products
capacity of resistant micro-organisms to become established in animal intestinal flora
exposure to resistance determinants from other sources
dose, route of administration and duration of treatment
pharmacokinetics (metabolism, bioavailability, access to intestinal flora)
cycling of resistant micro-organisms between humans, animals and the environment.
Consequence assessment
The following factors should be considered in the consequence assessment:
dose-response relationships
variation in disease susceptibility of exposed populations and subgroups of the populations
variation and frequency of animal health effects resulting from loss of efficacy of antimicrobials
changes in practices resulting from reduced confidence in antimicrobials
associated cost
perceived future usefulness of the drug (time reference).
Risk estimation
The following factors should be considered in the risk estimation:
number of therapeutic failures due to resistant micro-organisms
economic cost
deaths (total per year; probability per year or lifetime for a random member of the population or a member of a specific more exposed sub-population)
incidence of resistance observed in animals.
Risk management options and risk communication
Risk management options and risk communication have to be continuously monitored and reviewed in order to ensure that the objectives are being achieved.
The relevant recommendations (Articles 2.2.5., 2.2.6. and 2.2.7.) in the Terrestrial Code apply.
A range of risk management options is available to minimize the emergence and spread of antimicrobial resistance and these include both regulatory and non-regulatory risk management options, such as the development of codes of practice concerning the use of antimicrobials in animal husbandry. Risk management decisions need to consider fully the implications of these different options for human health and animal health and welfare and also take into account economic considerations and any associated environmental issues. Effective control of certain bacterial diseases of animals will have the dual benefit of reducing the risks linked to antimicrobial resistance, in cases where the bacterial disease under consideration has also developed antimicrobial resistance. Appropriate communication with all stakeholders is essential throughout the risk assessment process.
2008 ©OIE - Terrestrial Animal Health Code |